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If you could talk about these, and beyond, in China, in Pakistan, in the past, in the United States. Earthquakes are happening all the time. It looks like large earthquakes are happening suddenly now, a kind of conspiracy effect. We have to worry about earthquakes that actually occur near population centers. Nobody is there, just a few fish.
So, what really matters is where our populations are. And one of the most unexpected things is if you make a map of the world and plop down all the cities that you know about, the very largest of them, probably half of them, are located on plate boundaries. Plate boundaries is where earthquakes occur. Now, supposing you were coming in from a distant galaxy and you wanted to just populate the planet, you would try to avoid those places. But we have grown up on this planet, and we found that plate boundaries are in fact very desirable places to live.
Cities are often located near sources of water, and these sources of water come out at range fronts. In other words, all the most desirable places on our planet appear to be populated by very, very large cities. Now, if you wind the clock back years, you find that these were only villages. The population of the world has increased tenfold in the repeat time of most damaging earthquakes on our planet. And so, we have set up a disaster waiting to happen in probably a hundred cities with populations more than a million people.
And one could list — one could list these hundred cities, and probably two or three of these will be damaged in the next two or three decades. A completely unacceptable prediction. Six hundred and fifty thousand people have died from earthquakes just since And you could ask, well, why is this? We know their history of earthquakes, and we know they will have a future of earthquakes. And so, many of these cities, mostly in the developing nations, are slated for demolition by earthquakes.
After The Earth Quakes Elastic Rebound On An Urban Planet
And we are now seeing that buildings are in fact weapons of mass destruction. We know how to do it right. The answer is, you can save money. And in the developing nations, there is this battle between what should be done and human nature, trying to either overtly make profits or covertly just to save money for the builders. In Haiti, seismologists, my colleagues, told the Haitians that, in fact, large earthquakes were overdue, and they had happened a few hundred years ago, and there was enough strain now developed at the plate boundary to repeat a sequence of events that happened in the s.
And there was no money for this. There are much more pressing issues. Does anything human beings do on earth have an effect on earthquakes, the number of earthquakes or their intensity? If you build a very large dam, you sometimes trigger an earthquake. And what the earth has in store for us are usually a hundred magnitude Our future disasters depend whether those earthquakes occur close to cities that are vulnerable to shaking, or whether they occur away from these cities.
And how can you make such a ridiculous prediction? The answer is that never before have we had such large populations at risk from earthquakes, cities of 12 million. And there are many cities like this, and several of them, like Istanbul and Tehran, have a history of damaging earthquakes, and we may well see the effects of corruption and bad building practices revealed only after these earthquakes have struck.
We tried that with a harmless earthquake in a field of cows at Parkfield a few years ago and failed miserably. What we can do, though, is forecast earthquakes, meaning that we know earthquakes will occur in something like a thirty-year window. After The Earth Quakes focuses on this theme, using a number of pivotal and intriguing historic earthquakes as illustration. The book concludes with a consideration of projected future losses on an increasingly urbanized planet, including the near-certainty that a future earthquake will someday claim over a million lives.
This grim prediction impels us to take steps to mitigate earthquake risk, the innately human capacity for rebound notwithstanding. Richter's scale : measure of an earthquake, measure of a man by Susan Elizabeth Hough Book 14 editions published between and in English and held by 1, WorldCat member libraries worldwide Chronicles the troubled life, scientific work, and poetry of the American scientist, Charles Richter, who developed a scale that measures the magnitude of earthquakes.
Predicting the unpredictable : the tumultuous science of earthquake prediction by Susan Elizabeth Hough 27 editions published between and in English and Italian and held by 1, WorldCat member libraries worldwide Susan Hough traces the continuing quest by seismologists to forecast the time, location, and magnitude of future quakes--a quest fraught with controversies, spectacular failures, and occasional apparent successes. She brings readers into the laboratory and out into the field with the pioneers who have sought to develop reliable methods based on observable phenomena such as small earthquake patterns and electromagnetic signals.
Hough describes attempts that have raised hopes only to collapse under scrutiny, as well as approaches that seem to hold future promise. She recounts stories of strange occurrences preceding massive quakes, such as changes in well water levels and mysterious ground fogs. She also ventures to the fringes of pseudoscience to consider ideas outside the scientific mainstream, from the enduring belief that animals can sense impending earthquakes to amateur YouTube videos purporting to show earthquake lights prior to large quakes.
Earthshaking science : what we know and don't know about earthquakes by Susan Elizabeth Hough Book 14 editions published between and in English and held by 1, WorldCat member libraries worldwide Publisher's description: Earthshaking Science is the first book to really make sense of the dizzying array of information that has emerged in recent decades about earthquakes.
Susan Hough, a research seismologist in one of North America's most active earthquake zones and an expert at communicating this complex science to the public, separates fact from fiction. She fills in many of the blanks that remained after plate tectonics theory, in the s, first gave us a rough idea of just what earthquakes are about. How do earthquakes start? How do they stop? Do earthquakes occur at regular intervals on faults? If not, why not? Are earthquakes predictable? How hard will the ground shake following an earthquake of a given magnitude?
How does one quantify future seismic hazard? As Hough recounts in brisk, jargon-free prose, improvements in earthquake recording capability in the s and s set the stage for a period of rapid development in earthquake science.
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